Our soccer betting professional Jones Is aware of is again to offer his insights on each Premier League match and supply recommendation for the treble weekend of 11/1.
Southampton vs Manchester United, Saturday 12:30
Russell Martin has had some teething issues within the Premier League.
They appear comfy on the ball and artistic of their build-up play, making Saints seem like a Premier League aspect to a big extent, however their dangerous technique of attacking from the again is costing them Paid a heavy value.
They’re 8/13 favorites with Sky Wager and one factor United are excellent at beneath Erik ten Hag is placing apart the slumps within the Premier League. When he wants outcomes, the Dutchman is often chosen.
In 20 away video games in opposition to groups ranked within the decrease half this season, Manchester United has achieved 14 wins, 4 attracts and a couple of losses. In the meantime, their file on the street in opposition to relegated groups is six wins from six video games and solely two objectives conceded. Sky Wager odds of 6/4 for Manchester United to win with beneath 3.5 objectives scored – ought to be shut.
Rating prediction: 0-1
Brighton v Ipswich, Saturday 3pm
Is Brighton actual? Three video games into the Fabian Huerzeller period, the market is screaming for them.
They’re as more likely to end within the high 4 as Manchester United primarily based on straight odds (9/2 at Sky Wager) and the percentages of ending within the high six have dropped to 13/8, having been higher odds in the beginning of the season Rather more.
Not having a single piece of European soccer definitely works of their favor – as does a spread of attacking choices throughout their ahead line, corresponding to Kaoru Mitoma, who’s 2/1 to attain at Sky Wager in a winnable recreation for Brighton , appears overpriced.
The Japanese star appears again on his greatest performances of the 2022/23 season, when he scored a purpose nearly each different recreation within the Amex Premier League. He can win at dwelling.
Rating prediction: 3-1
Crystal Palace v Leicester Metropolis, Saturday 3pm
I have never seen any stable proof that Leicester Metropolis have sufficient firepower to keep away from relegation this season.
They’ve produced simply 1.33 anticipated objectives from open play of their three video games to this point, and in opposition to Aston Villa final weekend, though Villa’s 2-1 scoreline regarded nerve-wracking, But it surely appears very uncreative. Rather more comfy than that.
In the meantime, Oliver Glasner ought to be capable of get Palace shifting in the suitable route as soon as the switch window closes. Crystal Palace got here out the opposite aspect in higher form than many predicted.
I used to be impressed with their second-half efficiency at Chelsea, and the introduction of forgotten man Cheike Doucoure has utterly revitalized their midfield.
He and Adam Walton might type an excellent partnership there – which ought to take them to this common dwelling win over Crystal Palace and beneath 3.5 objectives at 13/8 with Sky Wager Value a re-assessment.
Rating prediction: 2-0
Fulham v West Ham, Saturday 3pm
West Ham left-back Emerson Palmieri might have his fingers full, led by Fulham’s rejuvenated Adama Traore on the suitable. When the opponent’s left-back confronts a robust winger, they’re at all times liable for playing cards and fouls.
Traore has been carded 64 instances by opponents within the Premier League, and he and proper again Kenny Tate have been fouled eight instances in three video games this season.
Odds corresponding to Sky Wager’s 6/4 for Emerson to be fouled twice and 9/2 for him to be carded are all dwell odds. In the event you mix the 2, you may summon a 7/1 shot through Sky Wager’s BuildABet characteristic.
Rating prediction: 1-1
Liverpool v Nottingham Forest, Saturday 3pm – Play SUPER 6 right here!
Nottingham Forest’s defensive course of beneath Nuno Espirito Santo deserves extra respect than the market is giving them. Within the 24 video games since he took over, solely Manchester Metropolis, Arsenal and Liverpool have a better anticipated objectives than Forest (1.24 per 90), they usually have conceded simply 4 of their final 17 video games. Scored 2 or extra objectives.
I can belief them to maintain this recreation tight.
Below Arne Slott, Liverpool performed with extra management and fewer chaos, which hampered their attacking efficiency within the first half. They shot simply 3-5-4 within the first half in opposition to Ipswich, Brentford and Manchester United and had extra objectives than anticipated earlier than the break.
The whole purpose line for this recreation is predicted to be over 3 objectives, which appears excessive, however Sky Wager’s 8/11 first half purpose line is beneath 1.5 objectives, which appears to be the most secure reverse purpose angle.
Rating Prediction: 1-0 | Finest Wager Jones Is aware of: Below 1.5 Objectives in First Half (8/11 with Sky Wager – 11/1 A part of a weekend treble!)
Manchester Metropolis v Brentford, Saturday 3pm – Play SUPER 6 right here!
Given Metropolis’s relentlessness and focus in the beginning of the season, this could flip right into a predictable betting frenzy as soon as once more, with the likes of a Metropolis win and Erling Haaland purpose more likely to be on the playing cards.
We wanted to get artistic to seek out an angle and with the Brentford offside line on two or extra events on 10/11 Sky Wager had an excellent probability. The Bees have been known as out for offside 20 instances of their previous 5 conferences with Manchester Metropolis, with “two or extra” strains falling every time. They do transfer the ball ahead shortly and Metropolis’s excessive line does imply there’s at all times an opportunity for opponents to go offside.
Rating prediction: 3-1
Aston Villa v Everton, Saturday 5.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – play SUPER 6 right here!
Jarrad Branthwaite is getting higher with each recreation he has been sidelined by Everton, who’ve missed him six instances because the begin of final season, dropping 5 of them , conceding a median of two.5 objectives per recreation. It is turning into a nightmare for Sean Dyche because the noise round Goodison Park will get louder and louder.
Aston Villa gained 12 of 18 video games in opposition to groups ranked twelfth or decrease final season and had been unbeaten in all 10 dwelling Premier League video games in opposition to groups within the backside half, successful eight .
The truth that Ollie Watkins was given a while to recharge throughout the worldwide break would not bode nicely for Everton both. The Villa striker has failed to attain in his final seven video games in all competitions, lacking six massive probabilities. That does not fear me, although – he is a deadly finisher and will not let this run go on for lengthy. Villa win, with Watkins 7/4 and Sky Wager appears to be the winner in ready.
Rating Prediction: 3-1 | Jones Is aware of Finest Wager: Ollie Watkins to attain in Aston Villa win (7/4 at Sky Wager – Weekend 11/1 Treble winner half)
Bournemouth v Chelsea, Saturday 8pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – play SUPER 6 right here!
It will likely be an lively watch. Chelsea’s assault regarded fiery at instances within the 1-1 draw with Crystal Palace, however was additionally absent at key moments of the sport, limiting their skill to transform simple play into victory.
Bournemouth, in the meantime, did not win any of their 12 Premier League video games in opposition to final season’s high six – successful simply two factors from a potential 36 video games – and look set to just do that this season. Much less invulnerable, conceding 25 instances in 4 video games in all competitions. Objectives ought to be on the menu and the percentages on any goalscorer ought to present punters with good betting alternatives, corresponding to Antoine Semenyo at 15/8 on Sky Wager and Noni Madueke at 2/1.
Rating prediction: 2-2
Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal, Sunday 2pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – play SUPER 6 right here!
With choice points in Arsenal’s midfield, with out Martin Odegaard and Declan Rice, I might see Mikel Arteta treating this recreation as an away Champions League knockout tie, stuffed with partisanship Environment. Leaving there with a degree could be thought of a superb end result.
This can be a low-stakes recreation of soccer geared toward silencing the house followers at each alternative and I am certain Arsenal will be capable of frustrate Spurs with their glorious away file. Arsenal, who might take 30 factors from away video games in 2024, have already got 28 factors and have not trailed on the street this 12 months. It is a defensive unit that has allowed simply three objectives in these 10 video games.
The best way to frustrate Anj Postkoglu’s aspect is to defend in numbers and block overloaded assaults out extensive, as Spurs should not excellent at road techniques in relation to making an attempt to interrupt down low defences. They’re turning into a group that takes a whole lot of photographs, however their anticipated objectives returns do not fairly match up – which factors to the issue of making high quality probabilities.
I believe Arsenal can push this recreation down a low-scoring path at 11/8 and with Sky Wager beneath 2.5 objectives in opposition to, that represents nice worth.
Rating prediction: 1-1 | Finest wager Jones is aware of: Below 2.5 objectives (11/8 at Sky Wager – A part of the 7/1 Weekend Treble!
Wolves v Newcastle, Sunday 4.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – play SUPER 6 right here!
Anticipating a good battle in midfield is precisely what my betting intuition dictates.
Newcastle’s trio of Bruno GuimarĂ£es, Joelinton, and presumably Sandro Tonali confronted the midfield and dedicated a whole lot of fouls. In the event you add up their common variety of fouls final season, they had been at 5.8 fouls per 90 video games. Even this season, Joelinton and Guimaraes have dedicated a mixed 18 fouls within the Premier League.
I anticipate comparable averages heading into Molineux and I like Wolves midfielder Mario Lemina’s price ticket in comparison with the foul spree in Newcastle’s midfield. He has dedicated 15 fouls in his final 14 video games for Wolves, together with two in final weekend’s 1-1 draw with Forest, so Sky Wager suppose 7/2 for him being fouled twice appears like a Runner.