Creator: Wayne Allin Root
Nobody in political historical past or political media has my background.
Lengthy earlier than I entered politics, I used to be dubbed “America’s Odds Maker” and “The King of Vegas Playing” by the nationwide media. My life has been profiled on CNBC, Fortune, and the Wall Road Journal. The Las Vegas Stroll of Fame awarded me a 180-pound granite star on the world-famous Las Vegas Strip.
Now my predominant job is politics. Over the previous decade, I’ve used my distinctive odds-making expertise to make hundreds of predictions on tv and radio political discuss exhibits. I batted .999 and solely wanted .333 to get into the Corridor of Fame.
Listed below are my predictions for the 2024 presidential election.
This isn’t a last-second prediction. I have been making this prediction on TV and radio exhibits for weeks. However now it is clear it is changing into a actuality. I’ve at all times mentioned this election is a repeat of Reagan Carter in 1980. Pollsters predict the ultimate margin can be razor-thin. They have been fallacious then, simply as they’re fallacious right now.
On Election Day 1980, Ronald Reagan received in a landslide.
Nobody noticed it coming. Each ballot is fallacious. Within the last days of the marketing campaign, all the pieces modified. In the long run, everybody got here to the identical conclusion on the identical time─all of them selected Reagan. The remaining is historical past!
Regan didn’t simply win in a landslide that day. 4 years later, he defeated Jimmy Carter’s Vice President Walter Mondale in an excellent larger landslide. Reagan turned across the disastrous Carter financial system, created peace and prosperity, and have become one of many biggest presidents in historical past.
Do you see many similarities? Trump is the brand new Reagan.
Like Jimmy Carter, the Biden-Kamala financial system is a catastrophe for middle-class People. Identical to below Carter, our nation is failing and dropping the respect of the world. Identical to below Carter, there was huge inflation and sharp will increase in power costs.
President Trump turned across the failed Obama financial system eight years in the past, and now he’ll flip across the failed Biden/Kamala financial system. Trump has created prosperity and peace world wide — similar to Reagan. He would do it once more.
Reagan defeated Carter’s Vice President Mondale. Now Trump is on the verge of defeating Biden’s Vice President Kamala.
However the largest similarity is the election itself.
The race — like Reagan/Carter — was a tie based mostly on polls within the weeks main as much as Election Day. Like Reagan, Trump ultimately dropped out. Polls present Trump’s polling numbers are the very best of his total profession and, most significantly, he is main in all seven battleground states — giving him a landslide victory within the election.
What’s extra, bettors have Trump as the favourite within the race and in all seven battleground states. As an oddsmaker in Vegas, I can inform you that bettors are way more correct than the general public or pollsters. Bettors are savvy “good guys” who do what they preach.
Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, with billions of {dollars} in stakes. Whereas polls confirmed Trump main in all seven battleground states, the outcomes confirmed it was very shut. Punters disagree. At Polymarket, listed here are the present odds…
Michigan – Trump leads 55% to 46%
Pennsylvania—Trump leads 57% to 43%
North Carolina — Trump leads 67% to 34%
Georgia — Trump leads 71% to 30%
Nevada – Trump leads 65% to 36%
Wisconsin – Trump leads 56% to 45%
Arizona – Trump leads 72% to 29%
General, at Polymarket, Trump has a 63% likelihood of successful the whole election, whereas Kamala has a 37% likelihood. Lead by 26 factors.
So, why did Trump withdraw? Why am I predicting a landslide election victory? For a similar cause, Ronald Reagan dumped Jimmy Carter within the last days of the 1980 marketing campaign.
The scenario is precisely the identical.
In 1980, voters feared Reagan, a former actor and film star who was a Washington, D.C., outsider with little political expertise. Does it remind you of anybody?
Reagan was vilified and demonized by the media as a lunatic…evil…radical…racist…somebody who would kill us all with one finger on the nuclear button. Does it remind you of anybody?
However ultimately, even when voters had doubts about Reagan, they walked into the polls and requested themselves two questions…
1) Am I higher off right now than I used to be 4 years in the past?
2) Can I survive one other 4 years of this catastrophic mess?
Then all of them determined to vote for Reagan.
Trump stop due to the identical two questions: 1) Am I higher off than I used to be 4 years in the past? 2) Can I survive one other 4 years of this catastrophic mess?
In the long run, irrespective of how a lot voters dislike or doubt Trump, they know they’d have been higher off 4 years in the past…and so they concern that neither they nor America will have the ability to expertise one other 4 years like we’re experiencing.
That’s why I spent weeks predicting that this election can be a repeat of 1980…and why I predicted that President Trump would arrive late…and win an electoral landslide.
As a result of each questions and each solutions are precisely the identical as they have been in 1980.
Within the last days of this marketing campaign, it was clear that the American individuals selected Trump. Solely election manipulation can now forestall Trump from attaining a decisive victory.
In regards to the creator: Catch Wayne’s new TV present “The ROOT Response” each Monday evening at 10 PM ET/7 PM PT on Actual America’s Voice TV, and on Saturdays at midday ET/9 AM PT on Actual Watch Wayne’s weekend “America’s Prime 10 Countdown” on America’s Voice TV. Watch on RealAmericasVoice.com or on Rumble, Roku, Pluto, Apple, Dish TV Ch 219, or go to RootforAmerica.com.