After final weekend’s 11/1 Finest Betting Treble, our soccer betting knowledgeable Jones Is aware of is again to offer his perception on each Premier League match.
West Ham United vs Chelsea, Saturday 12:30
Do not be fooled by Chelsea’s profitable document of their final 4 Premier League away video games, with 12 targets scored in these video games. Wanting on the underlying numbers behind these performances, this crew remains to be a good distance from being thought of a top-four contender – particularly with two wins this season towards Wolves and Bournemouth .
Chelsea could also be 7-2 on mixture in these video games, however anticipated targets towards are 2.51-3.74, an enormous overperformance that makes them look priced at profitable away at Evans by way of Sky Wager Already mature.
West Ham had sufficient of their frontline to start out punishing Chelsea’s protection for delivering high quality possibilities. Residence win.
Rating prediction: 2-1
Aston Villa v Wolves, Saturday 3pm – Play SUPER 6 and win £250,000!
Following the excessive playing cards we noticed within the Premier League final weekend, this recreation has the potential to observe swimsuit. An notorious card recreation involving two golf equipment who disliked one another, it was a creating derby.
Within the final eight video games between the 2 groups, the Yellow Playing cards have averaged 67 factors per recreation.
This instantly makes Sky Wager groups who provide 60 or extra reserving factors (10 for yellow playing cards, 25 for purple playing cards) runners-up, particularly as Villa have picked up 15 yellow playing cards of their final 4 video games.
Rating prediction: 2-1
Fulham v Newcastle, Saturday 3pm
Fulham have a poor document towards Newcastle, shedding their final six video games and having a participant despatched off in three of their final seven video games. That they had additionally scored simply twice of their earlier seven video games and failed to attain in 5 video games.
Nevertheless, based mostly on Newcastle’s defensive efficiency this season, I might be shocked in the event that they fail to attain once more.
Sure, Eddie Howe’s aspect are unbeaten with 10 factors from a attainable 12, however they’re going through a mean of 1.63 anticipated targets per 90 and a mean of 16.5 photographs per 90. Each groups confronted extra photographs – and the Toons had a considerably pleasant begin to the schedule.
Taking the lead when the sport is nice will not be a sustainable option to acquire factors, so I count on some regression of their outcomes quickly.
It might come right here, with Fulham priced at 9/5 to win with Sky Wager.
Rating prediction: 2-1
Leicester Metropolis v Everton, Saturday 3pm
Regardless of optimistic outcomes towards Tottenham Hotspur and Crystal Palace, Leicester remains to be a crew I am eager to play towards.
They’ve misplaced anticipated targets, photographs on purpose and nook kicks in all 4 Premier League video games. Their underlying metrics are dismal.
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Leicester Metropolis supervisor Steve Cooper has defined why his membership is asking for clarification on the VAR determination that allowed Crystal Palace a purpose on Saturday – which he described as a “horrible human error”.
If Everton cannot get a outcome right here, Sean Dyche may have some large inquiries to reply.
Nevertheless, if his crew assaults like they’ve up to now two video games, they need to win this recreation – and guess on that based mostly on the percentages.
They’ve created 7 large possibilities of their final two video games and have an anticipated targets towards score of two.10. Iliman Ndiaye, Dwight McNeil and Dominic Calvert-Lewin appeared spectacular within the ahead areas towards Bournemouth and Aston Villa excited.
They need to be too scorching for Leicester to deal with, with Sky Wager trying very beneficiant at 8/5 for the away win.
Prediction: 1-2 | Jones is aware of the most effective guess: Everton beat Leicester Metropolis (8/5 – 9/1 at Sky Wager as a part of a weekend treble!)
Liverpool v Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm – Play SUPER 6 and win £250,000!
Andoni Iraola is about to take over as supervisor however supporting Bournemouth to beat top-six sides has develop into an costly pastime.
In comparison with final season’s top-six end, they’ve now did not win any of their 12 Premier League video games – taking simply two factors from a attainable 36 factors. Arne Slaughter’s aspect are having a tough time however they cannot presumably think about getting the outcome – even when 8/1 for an away win sounds tempting.
Discovering a option to get Liverpool on aspect at such excessive odds is hard, however at 9/2 odds with Sky Wager, getting Dominik Szoboszlai to attain is An attention-grabbing technique.
He scored his first purpose of the season towards AC Milan in midweek, and his all-round efficiency was certainly excellent, rating him among the many prime three. He has 10 photographs on purpose in 5 video games beneath Slaughter and I count on his purpose tally to extend this season.
Rating prediction: 3-1
Southampton vs Ipswich, Saturday 3pm
If Southampton come out towards Manchester United within the ultimate 60 minutes, it is going to be a tricky ask for individuals who nonetheless place confidence in Russell Martin to make a case for them to win at 6/5 by way of Sky Wager . This can be a large deal for him.
The emergence of Tyler Dibling has given Saints everlasting hope and his first half efficiency towards Manchester United was eye-catching.
His offensive output excites me due to the way in which he strikes and attracts fouls like Jack Grealish. He dedicated 4 fouls in 63 minutes, whereas his counterpart Diogo Dalot dedicated 4 fouls in complete.
That is an thrilling angle that we should always be capable of exploit in foul market, with Ipswich opposition left-back Leif Davies being the main target right here. He has dedicated not less than one foul in seven video games he has began for Ipswich City, and Sky Wager charges his probabilities of committing two or extra fouls on this recreation at 6/4.
Rating prediction: 1-1
Tottenham Hotspur v Brentford, Saturday 3pm – Play SUPER 6 and win £250,000!
Brentford are precisely the form of opponent Anj Postekoglu doesn’t want proper now.
In case you are searching for a crew to trigger issues for Tottenham in the meanwhile, Brentford have the proper substances as the house followers will probably be anticipating a win and the Bees are a great low defensive crew, They pose an enormous risk at set items.
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Highlights from the Carabao Cup third spherical tie between Coventry Metropolis and Tottenham Hotspur.
Spurs have conceded 13 targets from corners this yr, whereas Brentford are extremely inventive and threatening in such conditions, having the second-highest set-piece expectations within the Premier League final season Objectives scored (15.4 factors).
It is going to be a tense, irritating recreation for Spurs if they do not rating early and I am very eager on scoring at this worth.
Markets are predicting 3.2 targets for this recreation, which appears to be like excessive given Tottenham’s current issues creating high quality possibilities. I am blissful to swim towards the sub-3.5 line with 4/6 and Sky Wager appears to be like good.
Rating Prediction: 1-1 | Finest Wager Jones Is aware of: Underneath 3.5 Objectives (8/11 with Sky Wager – 9/1 A part of a weekend treble!)
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Talking on the Prince Keyon Basis Golf Day, former Tottenham Hotspur supervisor Harry Redknapp backed Anj Postkoglu to succeed on the membership however admitted he was disenchanted within the The speak of profitable trophies within the second season places strain on myself.
Crystal Palace v Manchester United, Saturday 5.30pm, reside on Sky Sports activities – Play SUPER 6 and win £250,000!
Who would you prefer to be in control of your membership: Oliver Glasner or Erik ten Hag?
When you’re speaking about Oliver Glassner, congratulations.
In assessing this recreation, I’ve a tough time getting Crystal Palace’s 4-0 win over Manchester United final season out of my thoughts, as Glasner’s soccer confounded and bewildered United, who admittedly have been with out a few of their big-name gamers. .
Saturday, September 21, 5:00 pm
Begins at 5:30 p.m.
Though Manchester United gave us victory at Southampton final week, it is onerous to be overly smitten by their possibilities when Sky Wager worth them as 13/10 favorites. The primary half was once more stunning.
There was just one winner as soon as they scored the primary purpose, however that had extra to do with Southampton’s defeat than with Ten Hague’s aspect struggling. The jury remains to be out on whether or not this crew is shifting ahead, and I am blissful to be on Glasner’s aspect and present his tactical smarts to the opposition.
Rating prediction: 2-1
Brighton v Nottingham Forest, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports activities – Play SUPER 6 and win £250,000!
Brighton’s offside line beneath Fabian Hurtzeler fascinates me. This protection has allowed 31 gamers to go offside in six video games, a mean of 5.1 instances per recreation, with Wolves having been offside 9 instances in midweek.
It is a courageous, aggressive method of enjoying, but when the opponent’s ultimate go is appropriate, Brighton dangers blowing away high quality scoring possibilities.
That is why I am delighted to mix offside and Forest targets by way of the ‘Construct A Wager’ characteristic on Sky Wager. If each groups rating and Forest are offside 3 or extra instances, Sky Wager can get 6/4.
Rating prediction: 1-1
Manchester Metropolis v Arsenal, Sunday 4.30pm, reside on Sky Sports activities – Play SUPER 6 and win £250,000!
Arsenal’s zero win worth has intrigued me all week since I noticed it.
Sky Wager’s 13/2 is simply too large to overlook.
This crew has gained 10 of 11 Premier League away video games in 2024 and conceded solely 3 targets. It appears flawed {that a} crew with such high quality, group and high quality needs to be thought of to have solely a 22% probability of profitable a soccer match – even towards a crew as highly effective as Manchester Metropolis.
Sunday, September 22, 4:00 pm
Begins at 4:30 pm
Though this can be a sturdy crew, it’s regressing, particularly defensively, as groups can expose their weaknesses on the counter-attack. Brentford and Inter Milan have proven us this in current days, however it’s been occurring for some time and was the explanation Actual Madrid knocked them out of the Champions League final season.
Brentford fought again with ease final Saturday, particularly within the first half once they might have led 3-0. For simply the second time beneath Guardiola, Metropolis conceded 5 or extra targets at residence, with Brentford even profitable possession earlier than the break.
Inter then had 10 photographs on purpose within the first half in midweek, discovering it straightforward to interrupt via Metropolis’s backline with some intelligent passing and dribbling. They turned the primary opponent since Monaco in February 2017 to take greater than 10 photographs within the first half of a Champions League match on the Etihad Stadium.
Arsenal are ruthless sufficient at each ends of the pitch to get probably the most out of Evans, and providing them an opportunity to keep away from defeat is effective, as is the worth of 13/2 with zero wins.
Declare victory, hehe.
